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IB Diploma Geography HL · Global Change (Core)
Mini-Lesson

Global Change (Core)

The Geographic Perspectives — Global Change core is compulsory for every IB Geography student (Paper 2). Its three units — changing population, global climate, and global resource consumption & security — reward strong data skills and a synthesised argument.

📈 population distribution & change 🌡️ climate vulnerability & resilience ⛏️ resources consumption & security

Expect real calculations — natural increase, doubling time, dependency ratio and index numbers — alongside the concepts of vulnerability, resilience and security. Press Start.

Perspectives · framing

Why "global change"?

The core takes a global, systems view: people, climate and resources change together, and the power to cause and to cope with change is unevenly spread across places.

  • Population: how many people, where, and how age structures are shifting.
  • Climate: the causes of change and the very different vulnerability and resilience of places.
  • Resources: rising per-capita demand for water, food and energy, and the security of supply.

Command focus: Paper 2 rewards data skills plus a balanced, located, evaluative argument.

Population · distribution

Distribution, density & megacities

People are spread very unevenly. Density = people ÷ area. Increasingly, population concentrates in megacities (over 10 million) through urbanisation. Distribution is shaped by:

  • Physical factors — relief, climate, water and soils.
  • Human factors — jobs, cities, transport, history and policy.

Scale: a country that looks "sparse" nationally can still contain an extremely dense megacity — always specify the scale you mean.

Quick check

Where do people cluster?

?Which combination of physical conditions most encourages a dense population?
Population · change

Births, deaths & natural increase

A population changes through births, deaths and migration. The natural increase rate (from births and deaths only) is:

NIR (%/yr) = (CBR − CDR) ÷ 10CBR and CDR are per 1000 people; dividing by 10 converts "per 1000" into a percentage

Because steady percentage growth compounds, we estimate doubling time with the rule of 70:

doubling time ≈ 70 ÷ NIR (% per year)a quick approximation — small growth rates mean very long doubling times
Calculate

Your turn — natural increase

1A slow-growing country has a crude birth rate of 12 and a crude death rate of 9 (per 1000). Calculate the natural increase rate as a percentage per year.
%
Hint: NIR = (12 − 9) ÷ 10.
Calculate

Your turn — doubling time

2With that natural increase rate of 0.3% per year, estimate the doubling time using the rule of 70 (to the nearest year).
years
Hint: doubling time ≈ 70 ÷ 0.3 ≈ 233.
Population · structure

Ageing structures & dependency

The Demographic Transition Model shows birth and death rates falling as a country develops. Many high-income countries now face an ageing structure. A key measure is the dependency ratio:

dependency ratio = (young + old) ÷ working-age × 100young = under 15 · old = 65+ · working-age = 15–64

Ageing challenge: a large 65+ share raises the dependency ratio and strains pensions and healthcare — pro-natalist policy and later retirement are common responses.

Calculate

Your turn — dependency ratio

3In an ageing population, 18% are under 15, 27% are 65 or over, and 55% are of working age (15–64). Calculate the dependency ratio to 1 decimal place.
per 100
Hint: (18 + 27) ÷ 55 × 100 = 45 ÷ 55 × 100.
Population · migration & policy

Migration & population policy

Migration redistributes people, driven by push factors (poverty, conflict, hazards) and pull factors (jobs, safety, services). Governments steer change with policy:

  • Anti-natalist — reduce birth rates (family-planning programmes).
  • Pro-natalist — raise birth rates in ageing societies.
  • Migration policy — points systems, work visas, integration or restriction.

Possibilities & power: the "gender and change" strand stresses that empowering women — through education and work — is one of the strongest drivers of falling fertility.

Sort it

Which core unit?

Tap a term, then tap the Global Change unit it belongs to.

📈 Population

🌡️ Global climate

⛏️ Resources

Climate · vulnerability

Global climate — causes & vulnerability

The enhanced greenhouse effect from rising CO₂, methane and other gases is warming the planet, shifting rainfall, raising sea level and intensifying some extremes.

Vulnerability is how exposed and sensitive a place is, and how little it can cope. It depends on physical exposure and on wealth, governance and infrastructure.

Climate justice: the places that have emitted the least are often the most vulnerable — a core question of power.

Quick check

Same hazard, different outcome

?Two low-lying coastal countries face the same rate of sea-level rise, yet one suffers far greater losses. Which idea best explains this?
Climate · resilience

Adaptation vs mitigation

Resilience is the capacity to absorb and recover from change. Two response strategies — know the difference:

  • Mitigation — tackling the cause: cutting greenhouse-gas emissions (renewables, carbon pricing, reforestation).
  • Adaptation — living with the consequences: sea walls, drought-resistant crops, early-warning systems.

Possibilities: realistic futures combine both — mitigation slows the change, adaptation manages what can no longer be avoided.

Quick check

Adapt or mitigate?

?A country rapidly expands wind and solar power to cut its carbon emissions. This is best described as:
Resources · consumption

Global resource consumption

As populations grow and become wealthier, per-capita demand for water, food and energy rises. We track change with index numbers, which rescale data so a base year = 100:

index = (value ÷ base-year value) × 100an index of 150 means consumption is 50% higher than in the base year

The ecological footprint compares demand on nature with the Earth's biocapacity; living beyond biocapacity is an "ecological overshoot".

Calculate

Your turn — index number

4In the base year a country used 300 units of energy per person; this year it used 450 units. Calculate this year's consumption index (base year = 100).
index
Hint: index = (450 ÷ 300) × 100.
Match it

Match the term to its meaning

Tap a description on the left, then its matching term on the right.

Description
Term
Resources · security & sustainability

Resource security & the nexus

Resource security means reliable, affordable access to enough water, food and energy. These three are linked — the water–food–energy nexus — so stress in one cascades into the others. Water stress, for example, is measured as the share of available water withdrawn:

water stress = withdrawal ÷ available supply × 100higher percentages mean a country is drawing down more of its renewable water

Power & possibilities: the "circular economy" and the neo-Malthusian vs Boserup (technological optimism) debate are exactly what an "evaluate" question rewards.

Quick check

Reading the nexus

?What does the "water–food–energy nexus" tell us?
Recap

The big ideas to know

Population: density & megacities; NIR = (CBR − CDR) ÷ 10; doubling ≈ 70 ÷ NIR

Structure: DTM; dependency ratio = (young + old) ÷ working × 100; ageing challenge

Migration & policy: push/pull; anti-/pro-natalist; empowering women lowers fertility

Climate: enhanced greenhouse effect; vulnerability vs resilience; adaptation vs mitigation

Resources: index numbers; ecological footprint; water–food–energy nexus & water stress

You've covered all three units of the Global Change core. Press Finish to see your score.

🏆

Mini-lesson complete!

⭐⭐⭐

You've worked through Global Change for IB Geography HL. 🎉

Your stars: 0 / 0

Next: test yourself in the Evaluate stage Confidence Quiz, then lock it in with Verify.

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