๐ The marketing mix, sales forecasting and marketing performance
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OCR A-level Business (H436) ยท The marketing mix, sales forecasting and marketing performance
Mini-Lesson
The marketing mix, sales forecasting and marketing performance
This mini-lesson covers the second half of H436 Unit 2 โ Marketing: the 7Ps, the product life cycle and extension strategies, the Boston matrix, pricing strategies, price and income elasticity (with calculations), sales forecasting using moving averages and extrapolation, and how to judge marketing performance.
Work through each screen, answer the questions as you go (some are written, many are calculations) and collect โญ stars. Watch for the Calculate and Exam skill flags. Press Start when you're ready.
Unit 2 ยท The mix
The 7Ps of the marketing mix
The marketing mix is the set of controllable variables the business uses to position its product. The traditional 4Ps extend to 7Ps for services:
Price โ the strategy and tactics used to set price.
Place โ distribution channels: direct, retailer, wholesaler, e-commerce, multichannel.
Promotion โ advertising, sales promotion, PR, personal selling, digital and social media.
People โ staff skills and service; critical where staff are the product.
Process โ how the service is delivered: queueing, booking, ordering, returns.
Physical evidence โ the tangible cues of an intangible service: the store, uniforms, packaging, website.
Integration is the mark-scoring point: the Ps must be consistent. A premium price with cut-price packaging, sold in a discount shed, destroys the positioning. Judge the mix as a whole.
Unit 2 ยท Product
The product life cycle and extension strategies
The product life cycle plots sales over time: development โ introduction โ growth โ maturity โ decline.
Cash flow is negative in development and introduction, and strongest in maturity.
Extension strategies delay decline: new packaging, new flavours/variants, a new target market, price cuts, added features, more promotion.
Link to finance: a launch consumes cash (heavy promotion, low sales). Mature products fund the launches. That is exactly the logic behind the Boston matrix.
Unit 2 ยท Portfolio
The Boston matrix
The Boston (BCG) matrix analyses a portfolio of products on two axes: relative market share and market growth.
High market share
Low market share
High growth
Star โ invest heavily; cash-neutral at best
Question mark / problem child โ invest or divest?
Low growth
Cash cow โ milk it; funds the stars
Dog โ divest, or keep only if it supports the range
A healthy portfolio is balanced: cash cows generate the cash that funds stars and selected question marks, so there is a pipeline of tomorrow's cash cows.
Quick check
Quick check
?A product has a high market share in a market that is barely growing. In the Boston matrix it is a:
Unit 2 ยท Price
Pricing strategies
Cost-plus (mark-up) pricing โ add a percentage mark-up to unit cost. Simple, guarantees a margin; ignores competitors and demand.
Penetration pricing โ launch low to win share fast; relies on price-elastic demand and later price rises.
Price skimming โ launch high to recoup R&D from early adopters, then fall (new tech).
Competitive / price-matching โ set price by reference to rivals; common in oligopoly.
Predatory pricing โ price below cost to drive rivals out. Illegal in the UK under competition law.
Price discrimination โ different prices to different groups for the same product (peak rail fares, student tickets).
Psychological pricing โ ยฃ9.99 rather than ยฃ10.
Dynamic pricing โ algorithmic, real-time pricing by demand (airlines, ride-hailing).
cost-plus price = unit cost ร (1 + mark-up %)
Calculate
Your turn โ cost-plus pricing
1A speaker has a unit cost of ยฃ24. The firm uses cost-plus pricing with a 45% mark-up. Calculate the selling price.
ยฃ
Hint: 24 ร 1.45.
Unit 2 ยท Elasticity
Price elasticity of demand (PED)
PED = % change in quantity demanded รท % change in pricePED is negative โ we usually quote the magnitude and ignore the sign
|PED| > 1 โ price elastic: demand is sensitive. Cutting price raises total revenue; raising price cuts it.
|PED| < 1 โ price inelastic: demand is insensitive. Raising price raises total revenue.
|PED| = 1 โ unitary: revenue unchanged.
Demand is more inelastic when there are few substitutes, the brand is strong, the product is a necessity or addictive, and the price is a small share of income.
Worked example
Price rises from ยฃ20 to ยฃ22 โ % change in price = (2 รท 20) ร 100 = +10%
Demand falls from 40,000 to 34,000 โ % change in quantity = (โ6,000 รท 40,000) ร 100 = โ15%
PED = โ15 รท 10 = โ1.5 โ elastic, so the price rise will cut total revenue.
Calculate
Your turn โ price elasticity
2Using the worked figures above, calculate the magnitude of PED (ignore the minus sign): price +10%, quantity โ15%.
Hint: PED = % change in quantity รท % change in price = 15 รท 10.
Calculate
Your turn โ the revenue test
3Before the rise, revenue was 40,000 ร ยฃ20 = ยฃ800,000. Calculate total revenue after the price rise (34,000 units at ยฃ22).
ยฃ
Hint: TR = price ร quantity = 22 ร 34,000.
Quick check
Quick check
?Demand for a train operator's peak commuter tickets has a PED of โ0.4. To increase total revenue it should:
Unit 2 ยท Elasticity
Income elasticity of demand (YED)
YED = % change in quantity demanded รท % change in real income
YED positive โ normal good. If YED > 1 it is a luxury (demand rises faster than income: restaurant meals, new cars).
YED negative โ inferior good: demand falls as incomes rise (value-range food, bus travel).
Why it matters: a business selling luxuries is highly exposed to recession. Knowing YED helps a firm forecast demand across the economic cycle and balance its product portfolio.
Sort it
Sort the pricing strategies
Tap a description, then tap the strategy it describes.
๐ท Cost-plus
๐ Penetration
๐ Skimming
Unit 2 ยท Forecasting
Sales forecasting โ moving averages
A time series of sales contains a trend, seasonal variation, cyclical movements and random shocks. A moving average smooths out the noise so the trend is visible.
3-period moving average = (period 1 + period 2 + period 3) รท 3the answer is centred on the middle period
Worked example
Sales (ยฃ000): Jan 240 ยท Feb 260 ยท Mar 286
3-month moving average centred on February = (240 + 260 + 286) รท 3 = 786 รท 3 = 262
Extrapolation projects the past trend forward. It is quick and cheap, but assumes the future behaves like the past โ dangerous after a shock, a new entrant or a change in tastes.
Calculate
Your turn โ moving average
4Sales (ยฃ000) are: Apr 310, May 352, Jun 367. Calculate the 3-month moving average centred on May.
ยฃ000
Hint: (310 + 352 + 367) รท 3 = 1,029 รท 3.
Unit 2 ยท Performance
Judging marketing performance
Marketing spend must be justified. Common measures:
Sales volume and value growth against target.
Market share โ the sharpest test, because it strips out market-wide growth.
Customer acquisition cost and customer retention rate (retaining is far cheaper than acquiring).
Conversion rate and click-through rate for digital campaigns.
Brand awareness and customer satisfaction / NPS scores.
Evaluation: a rise in sales does not prove the campaign worked โ the whole market may have grown, or a rival may have withdrawn. Compare against market share and the counterfactual.
Match it
Match the concept to its meaning
Tap a card on the left, then its partner on the right.
Concept
Meaning
Quick check
Quick check
?A firm launches a smart watch at a high price to recover its R&D costs from early adopters, planning to cut the price as rivals arrive. This is:
Quick check
Quick check
?Sales of a product have flattened after two years of rapid growth, and cash flow from it is now strongly positive. The product is most likely in the:
Unit 2 ยท Performance
Measuring the customer experience
Alongside sales and market share, H436 expects you to interpret customer-facing measures:
Complaints โ the number and type; a falling complaint rate suggests improving quality, but silence can also mean customers have simply left.
Customer feedback and reviews โ public, powerful and hard to control; a single viral complaint can outweigh a year of advertising.
Net promoter score (NPS) โ the percentage of promoters minus the percentage of detractors: how likely customers are to recommend you. It links directly to the advocacy stage of the customer journey.
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